Agricultural Exports Contribution to Economic Growth in Pakistan
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.62270/jirms.vi.15Keywords:
Pakistan, Agricultural exports, ARDL, Unit root, Economic GrowthAbstract
The main aim of this research is to analyze Pakistan's agricultural and economic implications. This study also sheds light on agricultural challenges and their possible solutions. This article uses time-series data from 1990 to 2020 and is collected from various websites such as the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, Government of Pakistan (GOP), World Development Indicators (WDI). The analysis was performed using ARDL co-integration mode, bound tests, and an error-correction model. The survey results show that cotton exports are negatively or slightly correlated with economic growth. In contrast, Rice and wheat exports have a positive and important link to long-term and short-term economic growth. In addition, there is a one-way relation between agricultural commodities and economic growth such as rice exports. Based on calculated results, this study recommends the governing bodies in Pakistan transform agricultural exports into value-added products, stimulate private investment, and improve traditional agricultural production techniques to bring about structural changes in agricultural exports.
References
Hayat, U., Shah, T., & Bacha, M. S. (2019). An empirical assessment of the dynamics of agricultural growth in Pakistan. Sarhad Journal of Agriculture, 35(3), 782–787. https://doi.org/10.17582/journal.sja/2019/35.3.782.787 DOI: https://doi.org/10.17582/journal.sja/2019/35.3.782.787
Fatemah, A., & Qayyum, A. (2018). Modeling the impact of exports on the economic growth of Pakistan. Turkish Economic Review, 5(1), 56–64.
Azam, A., & Shafique, M. (2017). Agriculture in Pakistan and its impact on economy—A review. International Journal of Advanced Science and Technology, 103, 47–60. https://doi.org/10.14257/ijast.2017.103.05 DOI: https://doi.org/10.14257/ijast.2017.103.05
Bakari, S. (2020). The impact of olive oil exports on economic growth: Empirical analysis from Tunisia. BİLTÜRK Journal of Economics and Related Studies, 2(3), 441–458. https://doi.org/10.47103/bilturk.675714 DOI: https://doi.org/10.47103/bilturk.675714
Lam, T. D. (2016). An empirical analysis of the ASEAN-4's causality between exports and output growth. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 6(2), 497–502.
Ouma, D., Kimani, T., & Manyasa, E. (2016). Agricultural trade and economic growth in East African Community. African Journal of Economic Review, 4(2), 203–221. https://doi.org/10.61538/ajer.v4i2.450
Shihab, R. A., Soufan, T., & Abdul-Khaliq, S. (2014). The causal relationship between exports and economic growth in Jordan. International Journal of Business and Social Science, 5(3), 302–308.
Faridi, M. Z. (2012). Contribution of agricultural exports to economic growth in Pakistan. Pakistan Journal of Commerce and Social Sciences, 6(1), 133–146.
Chebbi, H. E. (2010). Agriculture and economic growth in Tunisia. China Agricultural Economic Review, 2(1), 63–78. https://doi.org/10.1108/17561371011017504 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/17561371011017504
Abdullah, M., & Kalim, R. (2011). Determinants of food price inflation in Pakistan. In Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Business Management (pp. 69–88). University of Management and Technology.
Memon, M. H., Baig, W. S., & Ali, M. (2008). Causal relationship between exports and agricultural GDP in Pakistan (MPRA Paper No. 11845). Munich Personal RePEc Archive.
Jordaan, A. C., & Eita, J. H. (2007). Export and economic growth in Namibia: A Granger causality analysis. South African Journal of Economics, 75(3), 540–547. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1813-6982.2007.00132.x
Kwa, A., Bassoum, S., & Murphy, S. (2007). Exploring the linkages between agricultural exports and sustainable development (EcoFair Trade Discussion Paper No. 8). EcoFair Trade Dialogue.
Canchari, N. N. U., Rodriguez, C. A. A., & Baral, P. (2018). The impact of agricultural exports to China on economic growth of Peru: A short- and long-run analysis. Research in Applied Economics, 10(4), 1–16. https://doi.org/10.5296/rae.v10i4.13526
Shah, S. W. A., Haq, M. A., & Farooq, R. M. A. (2015). Agricultural export and economic growth: A case study of Pakistan. Public Policy and Administration Research, 5(8), 88–96.
Ekanayake, E. M. (1999). Exports and economic growth in Asian developing countries: Cointegration and error-correction models. Journal of Economic Development, 24(2), 43–56.
Khan, A. H., Malik, A., & Hasan, L. (1995). Exports, growth and causality: An application of co-integration and error-correction modelling. The Pakistan Development Review, 34(4), 1001–1012. https://doi.org/10.30541/v34i4IIIpp.1001-1012 DOI: https://doi.org/10.30541/v34i4IIIpp.1001-1012
Dickey, D. A., & Fuller, W. A. (1981). Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Econometrica, 49(4), 1057–1072. https://doi.org/10.2307/1912517 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1912517
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2020 Hira Nasir, Sabahat Subhan

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) 4.0 License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work’s authorship and initial publication in this journal.


